Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.000621 0.000713 0.000812 0.000924 0.001048 0.001181 0.001333
2025-06-01 0.000461 0.000585 0.000727 0.000900 0.001103 0.001333 0.001611
2025-06-08 0.000371 0.000505 0.000666 0.000871 0.001122 0.001416 0.001784
2025-06-15 0.000314 0.000456 0.000634 0.000869 0.001167 0.001527 0.001988
2025-06-22 0.000271 0.000417 0.000607 0.000867 0.001206 0.001627 0.002178
2025-06-29 0.000233 0.000379 0.000577 0.000856 0.001231 0.001706 0.002342
2025-07-06 0.000200 0.000343 0.000545 0.000839 0.001244 0.001768 0.002483
2025-07-13 0.000182 0.000328 0.000541 0.000858 0.001305 0.001892 0.002706
2025-07-20 0.000166 0.000313 0.000533 0.000871 0.001355 0.002003 0.002914
2025-07-27 0.000146 0.000289 0.000512 0.000862 0.001374 0.002071 0.003064
2025-08-03 0.000127 0.000265 0.000488 0.000846 0.001381 0.002122 0.003192
2025-08-10 0.000116 0.000254 0.000482 0.000857 0.001426 0.002226 0.003393
2025-08-17 0.000104 0.000239 0.000470 0.000859 0.001460 0.002315 0.003577
2025-08-24 0.000088 0.000216 0.000441 0.000831 0.001447 0.002338 0.003671
2025-08-31 0.000075 0.000195 0.000414 0.000805 0.001435 0.002361 0.003763
2025-09-07 0.000067 0.000183 0.000403 0.000803 0.001459 0.002434 0.003928
2025-09-14 0.000060 0.000172 0.000392 0.000801 0.001482 0.002509 0.004096
2025-09-21 0.000052 0.000160 0.000377 0.000791 0.001492 0.002561 0.004231
2025-09-28 0.000045 0.000147 0.000360 0.000775 0.001491 0.002598 0.004344
2025-10-05 0.000042 0.000144 0.000361 0.000793 0.001546 0.002721 0.004587
2025-10-12 0.000039 0.000139 0.000360 0.000805 0.001592 0.002829 0.004809
2025-10-19 0.000034 0.000130 0.000347 0.000796 0.001601 0.002882 0.004949
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000120 0.000332 0.000781 0.001600 0.002917 0.005061